Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Hintz 52.6% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 85.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 58.0%
Neutral zone
Hintz 68.6%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 77.0%
23.0%
77.0%
MacKinnon
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
MacKinnon
Hintz
Last 5: MacKinnon 3-2 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
1
MacKinnon
Hintz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
MacKinnon
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
52.9% (526)
-7.1%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
57.4% (108)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
42.5% (40)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
MacKinnon shoots right. Hintz is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Hintz
Home
49.5% (396)
53.8% (329)
Away
41.7% (448)
52.2% (345)
By Period
MacKinnon
Hintz
P1
50.2%
55.6%
P2
43.8%
53.0%
P3
41.4%
51.7%
OT
66.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
41.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 10:21 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 09:38 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |