Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 45.1% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 50.7% vs Strome 48.0% (+3.9%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 51.0%
Defensive zone
Strome 59.9%
Neutral zone
Strome 51.3%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
MacKinnon
Strome
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (825)
47.7% (172)
+1.4%
Power Play
65.4% (130)
38.1% (21)
+27.3%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
100.0% (1)
-65.5%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +65.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. MacKinnon is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (268).
MacKinnon shoots right. Strome is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Strome
Home
52.6% (489)
43.5% (108)
Away
49.1% (495)
51.2% (86)
By Period
MacKinnon
Strome
P1
50.3%
45.8%
P2
52.6%
46.2%
P3
49.2%
50.0%
OT
62.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.8%
Strome
52.0%▲
46.5%
46.9%