Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 51.3% vs Strome 45.2% (+7.9%)
Offensive zone
Strome 51.7%
Defensive zone
Strome 59.5%
Neutral zone
Strome 53.2%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
MacKinnon
Strome
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (992)
44.2% (267)
+5.8%
Power Play
64.9% (148)
37.0% (27)
+27.9%
Penalty Kill
34.4% (32)
50.0% (4)
-15.6%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. MacKinnon is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (333).
MacKinnon shoots right. Strome is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Strome
Home
53.3% (591)
42.0% (157)
Away
49.6% (581)
45.4% (141)
By Period
MacKinnon
Strome
P1
49.9%
40.0%
P2
53.2%
46.4%
P3
50.8%
44.0%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%