Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.4% vs 43.8%). MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Strome 44.4% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 52.6%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 63.2%
Neutral zone
Strome 55.7%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
MacKinnon
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
MacKinnon
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
MacKinnon
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
43.0% (788)
+1.7%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
47.9% (96)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
50.0% (34)
+15.0%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (308).
MacKinnon shoots right. Strome is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Strome
Home
49.4% (553)
42.6% (486)
Away
40.0% (615)
45.1% (432)
By Period
MacKinnon
Strome
P1
45.3%
41.0%
P2
42.7%
47.8%
P3
45.1%
42.1%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2023 | 3 | 11:24 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:39 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |