Nathan MacKinnon vs Ryan Strome
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). MacKinnon wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Strome 44.6% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 16-13 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 59.6%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 57.9%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 57.9%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
MacKinnon
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
13
(29 meetings)
16
13
MacKinnon
Strome
Last 10: MacKinnon 4-6 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
MacKinnon
Strome
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
5
6
MacKinnon
Strome
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
6
2
MacKinnon
Strome
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
44.1% (6,839)
+2.0%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
49.3% (854)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
41.5% (410)
+1.3%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
MacKinnon shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,377).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Strome
Home
49.7% (6,444)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
MacKinnon
Strome
P1
47.4%
44.0%
P2
46.6%
45.3%
P3
46.1%
44.3%
OT
48.4%
46.3%
Final 5 min
49.0%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 05:32 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 10:29 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 00:32 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 12:10 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 00:22 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 19:36 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 18, 2024 | 1 | 15:57 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 04:07 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 3 | 11:24 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:39 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |