Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Strome 45.0% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 50.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 57.2%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 56.6%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
MacKinnon
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
MacKinnon
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
MacKinnon
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
44.1% (749)
+1.7%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
46.2% (52)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
52.9% (17)
-25.3%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. MacKinnon is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
MacKinnon shoots right. Strome is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (257).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Strome
Home
49.5% (396)
45.1% (441)
Away
41.7% (448)
43.5% (377)
By Period
MacKinnon
Strome
P1
50.2%
42.9%
P2
43.8%
44.4%
P3
41.4%
45.8%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.0%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |