Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 46.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Strome 46.8% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 53.5%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 56.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 50.4%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
MacKinnon
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
MacKinnon
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
46.4% (371)
-0.9%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
43.3% (97)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
55.6% (18)
-15.6%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
MacKinnon shoots right. Strome is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Strome
Home
47.8% (670)
47.6% (225)
Away
44.6% (644)
44.8% (261)
By Period
MacKinnon
Strome
P1
45.3%
45.4%
P2
48.5%
47.6%
P3
45.0%
45.2%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 04:07 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |