Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Reinhart 48.8% (-3.1%)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 55.5%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 58.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 50.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
MacKinnon
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
48.0% (275)
-2.2%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
48.1% (52)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
53.1% (32)
-25.5%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. MacKinnon is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
MacKinnon shoots right. Reinhart is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Reinhart
Home
49.5% (396)
49.8% (201)
Away
41.7% (448)
46.8% (158)
By Period
MacKinnon
Reinhart
P1
50.2%
54.8%
P2
43.8%
40.5%
P3
41.4%
50.0%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.0%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
48.5%