Nathan MacKinnon vs Sam Reinhart
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Reinhart on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). MacKinnon wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.8% vs Reinhart 43.3% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Reinhart leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Reinhart 68.0%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 64.8%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 67.3%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
MacKinnon
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
13
(21 meetings)
8
13
MacKinnon
Reinhart
Last 10: MacKinnon 4-6 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
1
8
MacKinnon
Reinhart
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
7
4
MacKinnon
Reinhart
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
1
MacKinnon
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
42.5% (2,173)
+3.6%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
46.5% (525)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
41.3% (339)
+1.5%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. MacKinnon is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,643).
MacKinnon shoots right. Reinhart is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (754).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Reinhart
Home
49.7% (6,444)
44.9% (1,528)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
41.2% (1,509)
By Period
MacKinnon
Reinhart
P1
47.4%
44.5%
P2
46.6%
40.5%
P3
46.1%
44.5%
OT
48.4%
43.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2025 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 3 | 11:38 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 6, 2025 | 1 | 19:56 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 16:51 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 14:54 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 12:35 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 12:16 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 07:10 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 09:37 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 06:54 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:21 | Neutral | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 01:05 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 12:46 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |