Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 51.3% vs Reinhart 42.9% (+13.4%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 61.9%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 53.5%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 50.5%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
MacKinnon
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (992)
39.0% (77)
+11.0%
Power Play
64.9% (148)
35.4% (48)
+29.5%
Penalty Kill
34.4% (32)
40.9% (22)
-6.5%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +29.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. MacKinnon is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (333).
MacKinnon shoots right. Reinhart is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Reinhart
Home
53.3% (591)
35.7% (84)
Away
49.6% (581)
41.3% (63)
By Period
MacKinnon
Reinhart
P1
49.9%
42.6%
P2
53.2%
34.7%
P3
50.8%
37.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
38.1%