Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Steel 49.4% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 55.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 57.7%
Neutral zone
Steel 52.9%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
MacKinnon
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
MacKinnon
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
MacKinnon
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
49.3% (383)
-3.5%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
59.1% (22)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
14.3% (7)
+13.3%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
MacKinnon shoots right. Steel is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Steel
Home
49.5% (396)
49.4% (180)
Away
41.7% (448)
49.1% (232)
By Period
MacKinnon
Steel
P1
50.2%
51.9%
P2
43.8%
43.8%
P3
41.4%
52.6%
Final 5 min
41.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2022 | 3 | 17:52 | Neutral | Sam Steel |