Nathan MacKinnon vs Steven Stamkos
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKinnon wins 45.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 48.6% vs Stamkos 50.0% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 60.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 54.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 61.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
MacKinnon
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
MacKinnon
Stamkos
Last 7: MacKinnon 2-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
3
MacKinnon
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
MacKinnon
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (849)
49.9% (771)
-1.7%
Power Play
51.0% (151)
55.4% (74)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (47)
45.1% (82)
-0.4%
On power play, Stamkos has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. MacKinnon is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (342).
MacKinnon shoots right. Stamkos is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Stamkos
Home
51.2% (521)
50.7% (487)
Away
45.6% (526)
49.1% (440)
By Period
MacKinnon
Stamkos
P1
49.9%
46.1%
P2
48.0%
52.0%
P3
47.9%
51.1%
OT
25.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
53.0%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
48.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2015 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 3 | 02:17 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 1 | 09:45 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 1 | 06:54 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |