Nathan MacKinnon vs Steven Stamkos
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 77.5%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 53.9%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 78.9%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
MacKinnon
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
MacKinnon
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
55.9% (499)
-10.4%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
56.3% (126)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
58.3% (12)
-18.3%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
MacKinnon shoots right. Stamkos is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Stamkos
Home
47.8% (670)
55.3% (349)
Away
44.6% (644)
56.9% (288)
By Period
MacKinnon
Stamkos
P1
45.3%
57.0%
P2
48.5%
59.2%
P3
45.0%
51.5%
OT
33.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
47.4%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |