Nathan MacKinnon vs Steven Stamkos
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 78.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 70.0%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 73.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 73.5%
26.5%
73.5%
MacKinnon
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
MacKinnon
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
0
MacKinnon
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
49.3% (789)
-3.5%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
56.9% (181)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
54.1% (98)
-26.5%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. MacKinnon is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
MacKinnon shoots right. Stamkos is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Stamkos
Home
49.5% (396)
52.0% (512)
Away
41.7% (448)
50.2% (556)
By Period
MacKinnon
Stamkos
P1
50.2%
42.1%
P2
43.8%
56.4%
P3
41.4%
53.7%
OT
66.7%
62.5%
Final 5 min
41.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 19:33 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 11:08 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |