Nathan MacKinnon vs Steven Stamkos
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 78.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 75.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 79.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
MacKinnon
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
MacKinnon
Stamkos
Last 10: MacKinnon 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
3
MacKinnon
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
3
MacKinnon
Stamkos
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
55.3% (628)
-10.6%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
55.1% (216)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
40.2% (87)
+24.8%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (308).
MacKinnon shoots right. Stamkos is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Stamkos
Home
49.4% (553)
55.5% (499)
Away
40.0% (615)
51.9% (432)
By Period
MacKinnon
Stamkos
P1
45.3%
50.7%
P2
42.7%
53.8%
P3
45.1%
55.9%
OT
46.2%
87.5%
Final 5 min
49.8%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 14:54 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:55 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 05:26 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 16:58 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 11:33 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 09:51 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 13:03 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |