Nathan MacKinnon vs Steven Stamkos
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 50.5% vs Stamkos 52.3% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 51.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 58.3%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 53.9%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
MacKinnon
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
MacKinnon
Stamkos
Last 5: MacKinnon 2-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
3
MacKinnon
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,167)
54.7% (179)
-5.4%
Power Play
61.0% (187)
50.0% (4)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (167)
40.0% (15)
+7.9%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. MacKinnon is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (492).
MacKinnon shoots right. Stamkos is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Stamkos
Home
57.7% (728)
57.4% (108)
Away
44.0% (793)
48.9% (90)
By Period
MacKinnon
Stamkos
P1
50.1%
53.4%
P2
52.5%
51.7%
P3
49.3%
55.6%
OT
43.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 07:53 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 05:41 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 16:55 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 00:32 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |