Nathan MacKinnon vs Tage Thompson
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Thompson 41.2% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 67.2%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 62.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 62.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
MacKinnon
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
MacKinnon
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
1
MacKinnon
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
40.6% (801)
+5.2%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
44.7% (103)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
31.0% (71)
-3.4%
On even strength, MacKinnon has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. MacKinnon is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
MacKinnon shoots right. Thompson is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Thompson
Home
49.5% (396)
43.2% (507)
Away
41.7% (448)
37.2% (468)
By Period
MacKinnon
Thompson
P1
50.2%
37.7%
P2
43.8%
43.4%
P3
41.4%
39.5%
OT
66.7%
27.3%
Final 5 min
41.0%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 08:50 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |