Nathan MacKinnon vs Tage Thompson
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Thompson 43.8% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 59.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 52.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 63.7%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
MacKinnon
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
MacKinnon
Thompson
Last 9: MacKinnon 4-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
0
MacKinnon
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
4
MacKinnon
Thompson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
43.3% (735)
+1.4%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
50.0% (26)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
36.5% (52)
+28.5%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (308).
MacKinnon shoots right. Thompson is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (240).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Thompson
Home
49.4% (553)
44.5% (407)
Away
40.0% (615)
41.6% (406)
By Period
MacKinnon
Thompson
P1
45.3%
44.4%
P2
42.7%
44.8%
P3
45.1%
40.2%
OT
46.2%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.8%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 04:31 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 17:09 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 13:43 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 06:51 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |