Nathan MacKinnon vs Tage Thompson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Thompson 44.0% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 74.6%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 61.9%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 62.0%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
MacKinnon
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
MacKinnon
Thompson
Last 9: MacKinnon 6-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
MacKinnon
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
0
MacKinnon
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
44.6% (709)
+0.9%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
41.5% (53)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
35.1% (97)
+4.9%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. MacKinnon is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (409).
MacKinnon shoots right. Thompson is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Thompson
Home
47.8% (670)
45.5% (426)
Away
44.6% (644)
41.1% (433)
By Period
MacKinnon
Thompson
P1
45.3%
48.5%
P2
48.5%
43.8%
P3
45.0%
38.1%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 10:28 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 06:46 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 06:37 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 3 | 10:23 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 29, 2023 | 1 | 08:30 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |