Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 49.9% vs Jost 47.3% (+4.7%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 52.9%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 57.5%
Neutral zone
Jost 53.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
MacKinnon
Jost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,266)
45.7% (116)
+3.5%
Power Play
54.9% (193)
37.5% (8)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
50.0% (2)
-0.9%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
MacKinnon shoots right. Jost is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (35).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Jost
Home
50.9% (740)
39.7% (68)
Away
49.0% (774)
51.7% (58)
By Period
MacKinnon
Jost
P1
50.9%
40.5%
P2
51.8%
47.9%
P3
47.1%
47.2%
Final 5 min
51.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
45.2%