Nathan MacKinnon vs Tyson Jost

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Nathan MacKinnon holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) MacKinnon 46.8% vs Jost 40.5% (+6.7%)
H2H factor Jost leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone MacKinnon 62.5%
Defensive zone Jost 61.2%
Neutral zone Jost 55.2%
Result Tyson Jost favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
MacKinnon Jost
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 7 (13 meetings)
6
7
MacKinnon Jost
Last 10: MacKinnon 6-4 Jost

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKinnon Jost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
2
3
MacKinnon Jost
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
MacKinnon Jost
6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
MacKinnon
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (11,218)
41.0% (2,014)
+5.1%
Power Play
53.3% (1,412)
34.2% (73)
+19.1%
Penalty Kill
42.8% (502)
35.3% (255)
+7.5%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +19.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Jost shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (9,490).
MacKinnon shoots right. Jost is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (876).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Jost
Home
49.7% (6,444)
41.9% (1,238)
Away
44.0% (6,689)
38.1% (1,104)
By Period
MacKinnon
Jost
P1
47.4%
38.5%
P2
46.6%
41.2%
P3
46.1%
40.9%
OT
48.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
38.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%
54.0%
46.8%
Jost
38.0%
41.5%
40.1%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 16, 2026 1 02:49 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 13, 2023 1 15:13 Defensive Tyson Jost
Dec 1, 2022 3 00:07 Neutral Tyson Jost
Dec 1, 2022 1 13:30 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 1, 2022 1 13:19 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Dec 1, 2022 1 03:18 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 17, 2022 3 14:12 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 17, 2022 3 04:17 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 17, 2022 2 19:14 Offensive Tyson Jost
Oct 17, 2022 2 08:37 Defensive Tyson Jost
Oct 17, 2022 2 07:41 Defensive Tyson Jost
Mar 27, 2022 1 05:50 Neutral Tyson Jost
Mar 27, 2022 1 05:44 Neutral Tyson Jost