Nathan MacKinnon vs William Karlsson
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). MacKinnon wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 42.6% vs Karlsson 48.2% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 81.6%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 81.8%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 83.3%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 82.6%
82.6%
17.4%
MacKinnon
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
MacKinnon
Karlsson
Last 10: MacKinnon 1-9 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
MacKinnon
Karlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
MacKinnon
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
7
MacKinnon
Karlsson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (953)
48.9% (662)
-8.2%
Power Play
51.4% (148)
46.7% (107)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (55)
41.2% (68)
-4.8%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (808).
MacKinnon shoots right. Karlsson is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Karlsson
Home
42.1% (617)
46.1% (401)
Away
41.7% (540)
49.8% (436)
By Period
MacKinnon
Karlsson
P1
43.4%
46.6%
P2
40.9%
49.5%
P3
40.8%
48.4%
OT
55.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
41.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 11:39 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 05:23 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 06:24 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 3 | 01:12 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 14:52 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 14:31 | Neutral | William Karlsson |