Nathan MacKinnon vs William Karlsson
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Karlsson 51.5% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Karlsson leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 66.8%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 65.3%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 65.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
MacKinnon
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
MacKinnon
Karlsson
Last 10: MacKinnon 3-7 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
4
MacKinnon
Karlsson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
MacKinnon
Karlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
1
MacKinnon
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
51.4% (735)
-5.6%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
63.5% (115)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
42.9% (133)
-15.3%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
MacKinnon shoots right. Karlsson is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Karlsson
Home
49.5% (396)
52.3% (524)
Away
41.7% (448)
51.0% (459)
By Period
MacKinnon
Karlsson
P1
50.2%
50.7%
P2
43.8%
51.4%
P3
41.4%
53.2%
OT
66.7%
41.2%
Final 5 min
41.0%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 3 | 18:49 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 3 | 16:19 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 3 | 08:03 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 2 | 08:30 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 1 | 14:36 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 03:54 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 18:45 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |