Who wins more faceoffs, Nathan MacKinnon or William Karlsson?

William Karlsson leads the head-to-head 6-2 across 8 faceoffs.

What is Nathan MacKinnon's faceoff record against William Karlsson?

Nathan MacKinnon is 2-6 against William Karlsson in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Defensive 0-2, Neutral 2-4.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Nathan MacKinnon or William Karlsson?

Nathan MacKinnon is the predicted winner with a 74.8% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Nathan MacKinnon vs William Karlsson

Nathan MacKinnonR vs William KarlssonL

2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

William Karlsson holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). MacKinnon wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) MacKinnon 46.5% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-10.0%)

H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone MacKinnon 78.6%

Defensive zone MacKinnon 72.6%

Neutral zone MacKinnon 75.6%

Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 74.8%

74.8%

25.2%

MacKinnon Karlsson

Head-to-Head Record

2 - 6 (8 meetings)

MacKinnon Karlsson

Last 8: MacKinnon 2-6 Karlsson

Zone Breakdown

Defensive Zone

Edge: Karlsson

MacKinnon Karlsson

2 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Karlsson

MacKinnon Karlsson

6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

MacKinnon

Karlsson

Edge

Even Strength

45.5% (1,190)

56.3% (739)

-10.8%

Power Play

56.4% (94)

58.6% (181)

-2.2%

Penalty Kill

40.0% (30)

47.2% (53)

-7.2%

On even strength, Karlsson has a +10.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Karlsson shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).

MacKinnon shoots right. Karlsson is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (346).

Home / Away

MacKinnon

Karlsson

Home

47.8% (670)

56.5% (462)

Away

44.6% (644)

56.0% (511)

By Period

MacKinnon

Karlsson

45.3%

57.1%

48.5%

55.2%

45.0%

56.7%

33.3%

50.0%

Final 5 min

47.4%

54.3%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

MacKinnon

48.0%▼

54.0%

46.2%

Karlsson

64.0%▲

57.5%

56.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Apr 14, 2024	3	02:56	Neutral	William Karlsson
Apr 14, 2024	3	00:00	Neutral	William Karlsson
Apr 14, 2024	2	00:00	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon
Apr 14, 2024	1	14:00	Defensive	William Karlsson
Apr 14, 2024	1	10:34	Neutral	William Karlsson
Apr 14, 2024	1	00:00	Neutral	Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 4, 2023	3	00:00	Neutral	William Karlsson
Nov 4, 2023	2	17:13	Defensive	William Karlsson

MacKinnon's Profile | Karlsson's Profile