Nathan MacKinnon vs William Karlsson

2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

William Karlsson holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). MacKinnon wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) MacKinnon 46.5% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-10.0%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone MacKinnon 78.6%
Defensive zone MacKinnon 72.6%
Neutral zone MacKinnon 75.6%
Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
MacKinnon Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2 - 6 (8 meetings)
2
6
MacKinnon Karlsson
Last 8: MacKinnon 2-6 Karlsson

Zone Breakdown

Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
2
MacKinnon Karlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
4
MacKinnon Karlsson
6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
MacKinnon
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
56.3% (739)
-10.8%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
58.6% (181)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
47.2% (53)
-7.2%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +10.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
MacKinnon shoots right. Karlsson is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Karlsson
Home
47.8% (670)
56.5% (462)
Away
44.6% (644)
56.0% (511)
By Period
MacKinnon
Karlsson
P1
45.3%
57.1%
P2
48.5%
55.2%
P3
45.0%
56.7%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
54.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%
54.0%
46.2%
Karlsson
64.0%
57.5%
56.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 14, 2024 3 02:56 Neutral William Karlsson
Apr 14, 2024 3 00:00 Neutral William Karlsson
Apr 14, 2024 2 00:00 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Apr 14, 2024 1 14:00 Defensive William Karlsson
Apr 14, 2024 1 10:34 Neutral William Karlsson
Apr 14, 2024 1 00:00 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 4, 2023 3 00:00 Neutral William Karlsson
Nov 4, 2023 2 17:13 Defensive William Karlsson