Nathan MacKinnon vs William Karlsson

2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

William Karlsson holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). MacKinnon wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) MacKinnon 44.9% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-10.9%)
H2H factor Karlsson leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone MacKinnon 52.9%
Defensive zone Karlsson 50.3%
Neutral zone Karlsson 51.1%
Result Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
MacKinnon Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
7 - 8 (15 meetings)
7
8
MacKinnon Karlsson
Last 10: MacKinnon 4-6 Karlsson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
3
4
MacKinnon Karlsson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
1
MacKinnon Karlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
2
3
MacKinnon Karlsson
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
MacKinnon
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
55.3% (897)
-10.6%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
61.1% (113)
-24.3%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
50.8% (132)
+14.2%
On power play, Karlsson has a +24.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
MacKinnon shoots right. Karlsson is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Karlsson
Home
49.4% (553)
58.6% (560)
Away
40.0% (615)
52.2% (582)
By Period
MacKinnon
Karlsson
P1
45.3%
55.8%
P2
42.7%
55.6%
P3
45.1%
55.7%
OT
46.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.8%
56.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%
54.0%
44.4%
Karlsson
64.0%
57.5%
55.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 27, 2023 3 16:16 Offensive William Karlsson
Feb 27, 2023 3 15:57 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 27, 2023 2 16:55 Defensive William Karlsson
Feb 27, 2023 2 04:26 Offensive William Karlsson
Jan 2, 2023 2 14:46 Neutral William Karlsson
Jan 2, 2023 2 07:14 Neutral William Karlsson
Jan 2, 2023 1 09:58 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Jan 2, 2023 1 04:18 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 22, 2022 3 10:32 Neutral William Karlsson
Oct 22, 2022 2 17:32 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 22, 2022 2 11:53 Offensive William Karlsson
Oct 22, 2022 2 11:49 Offensive William Karlsson
Oct 22, 2022 2 04:51 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 22, 2022 1 03:43 Neutral Nathan MacKinnon
Oct 22, 2022 1 03:35 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon