Nathan MacKinnon vs Zemgus Girgensons
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zemgus Girgensons holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.5% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 45.9% vs Girgensons 49.9% (-4.4%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 73.7%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 60.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
MacKinnon
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (755)
49.0% (210)
-3.2%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
63.6% (22)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
27.6% (29)
47.3% (55)
-19.7%
On penalty kill, Girgensons has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
MacKinnon shoots right. Girgensons is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Girgensons
Home
49.5% (396)
52.1% (142)
Away
41.7% (448)
47.6% (145)
By Period
MacKinnon
Girgensons
P1
50.2%
54.3%
P2
43.8%
49.1%
P3
41.4%
44.8%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.0%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
49.8%