Nathan MacKinnon vs Zemgus Girgensons
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 49.9% vs Girgensons 48.5% (+2.6%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 56.2%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 58.3%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 51.9%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
MacKinnon
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,266)
47.2% (127)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
50.0% (2)
-0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
MacKinnon shoots right. Girgensons is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (47).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Girgensons
Home
50.9% (740)
50.0% (80)
Away
49.0% (774)
42.9% (49)
By Period
MacKinnon
Girgensons
P1
50.9%
40.5%
P2
51.8%
54.3%
P3
47.1%
45.7%
Final 5 min
51.2%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
47.3%