Nathan MacKinnon vs Zemgus Girgensons
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zemgus Girgensons holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 44.9% vs Girgensons 46.9% (-1.0%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 68.7%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 54.2%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 55.2%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
MacKinnon
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,053)
45.3% (128)
-0.6%
Power Play
36.8% (95)
50.0% (4)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
65.0% (20)
45.3% (75)
+19.7%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (860).
MacKinnon shoots right. Girgensons is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Girgensons
Home
49.4% (553)
41.0% (100)
Away
40.0% (615)
49.5% (107)
By Period
MacKinnon
Girgensons
P1
45.3%
41.9%
P2
42.7%
53.9%
P3
45.1%
40.0%
OT
46.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
32.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
44.4%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
45.4%