Nathan MacKinnon vs Zemgus Girgensons
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zemgus Girgensons holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. MacKinnon wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKinnon 46.5% vs Girgensons 48.5% (-1.5%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 58.9%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 52.1%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 51.9%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
MacKinnon
Girgensons
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKinnon
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (1,190)
46.3% (147)
-0.8%
Power Play
56.4% (94)
66.7% (3)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (30)
51.1% (47)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Girgensons has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
MacKinnon shoots right. Girgensons is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
MacKinnon
Girgensons
Home
47.8% (670)
34.2% (79)
Away
44.6% (644)
56.8% (118)
By Period
MacKinnon
Girgensons
P1
45.3%
56.5%
P2
48.5%
38.1%
P3
45.0%
47.7%
Final 5 min
47.4%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.2%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
47.7%