Scouting Report
Nazem Kadri holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.9% vs Kadri 55.9% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 52.4%
Defensive zone
Tavares 50.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Tavares
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Tavares
Kadri
Last 6: Tavares 2-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
3
Tavares
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Kadri
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (861)
55.0% (533)
-0.2%
Power Play
57.5% (226)
63.0% (162)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
54.5% (22)
-2.8%
On power play, Kadri has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Tavares is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Tavares shoots left. Kadri is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (435).
Home / Away
Tavares
Kadri
Home
58.1% (559)
62.2% (349)
Away
52.4% (557)
51.6% (368)
By Period
Tavares
Kadri
P1
57.6%
57.3%
P2
55.5%
56.5%
P3
52.0%
56.9%
OT
80.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2019 | 3 | 18:41 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 2 | 05:28 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 15:09 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 06:21 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |