Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.8% vs Schmaltz 44.1% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 78.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 78.7%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 52.8%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Dowd
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Dowd
Schmaltz
Last 6: Dowd 3-3 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Dowd
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Dowd
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
1
Dowd
Schmaltz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (379)
41.7% (338)
+9.0%
Power Play
64.3% (14)
47.1% (34)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (157)
75.0% (4)
-28.5%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Dowd is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Dowd shoots right. Schmaltz is 39.2% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Dowd
Schmaltz
Home
53.7% (244)
48.2% (166)
Away
46.6% (307)
38.1% (210)
By Period
Dowd
Schmaltz
P1
53.6%
42.1%
P2
44.1%
45.8%
P3
51.9%
41.4%
Final 5 min
50.8%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 02:41 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 16:01 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 18:32 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 09:39 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |