Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 87.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 85.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 72.1%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Dowd
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dowd
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
38.5% (309)
+10.7%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
53.2% (79)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
25.0% (12)
+19.0%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Dowd shoots right. Schmaltz is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Dowd
Schmaltz
Home
46.3% (492)
38.0% (184)
Away
49.8% (532)
43.5% (216)
By Period
Dowd
Schmaltz
P1
49.1%
40.3%
P2
48.2%
39.9%
P3
46.9%
40.7%
OT
71.4%
70.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 08:52 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |