Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Dowd wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Schmaltz 48.4% (+6.0%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 87.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 87.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.6%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Dowd
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
42.9% (133)
+12.5%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
55.1% (89)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
47.1% (17)
-1.6%
On even strength, Dowd has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Dowd shoots right. Schmaltz is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Dowd
Schmaltz
Home
58.2% (462)
41.6% (125)
Away
49.3% (481)
54.4% (114)
By Period
Dowd
Schmaltz
P1
55.6%
40.0%
P2
50.5%
59.5%
P3
53.9%
45.0%
OT
75.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.7%