Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Schmaltz 45.0% (+10.8%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 94.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 79.1%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 50.2%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Dowd
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
37.7% (53)
+17.5%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
40.9% (44)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
66.7% (3)
-28.5%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Dowd shoots right. Schmaltz is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Dowd
Schmaltz
Home
53.7% (445)
34.7% (49)
Away
47.7% (407)
45.1% (51)
By Period
Dowd
Schmaltz
P1
48.8%
25.9%
P2
49.3%
46.2%
P3
54.0%
42.1%
OT
44.4%
46.7%
Final 5 min
49.8%
34.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%