Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.3% vs 56.2%). Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Dowd wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 55.5% vs Hischier 54.9% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 80.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 75.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 57.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Dowd
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Dowd
Hischier
Last 9: Dowd 5-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
4
Dowd
Hischier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
0
Dowd
Hischier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (617)
53.2% (250)
+5.0%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
66.7% (75)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (144)
55.6% (36)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Dowd is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Dowd shoots right. Hischier is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Dowd
Hischier
Home
58.4% (399)
56.9% (153)
Away
53.9% (369)
55.8% (208)
By Period
Dowd
Hischier
P1
59.0%
50.0%
P2
56.1%
48.6%
P3
54.6%
68.0%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
56.3%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 15:29 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 04:40 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 18:09 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 13:05 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 2 | 10:45 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |