Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.1% vs Hischier 54.9% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 90.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 72.2%
Neutral zone
Hischier 66.9%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Dowd
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Dowd
Hischier
Last 10: Dowd 5-5 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
5
Dowd
Hischier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
0
Dowd
Hischier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
1
Dowd
Hischier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (644)
55.0% (1,107)
-3.3%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
63.1% (252)
-63.1%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (221)
43.6% (149)
-2.0%
On power play, Hischier has a +63.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Dowd shoots right. Hischier is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Dowd
Hischier
Home
48.6% (451)
56.5% (763)
Away
49.5% (416)
54.0% (745)
By Period
Dowd
Hischier
P1
49.1%
56.0%
P2
47.3%
57.6%
P3
51.4%
53.0%
OT
30.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 11:29 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 02:38 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:15 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 04:46 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 18:02 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:43 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |