Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (96% H2H, 44 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Hischier 52.6% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 59-41 in 100 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 87.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 82.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 61.4%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Dowd
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
59
(100 meetings)
41
59
Dowd
Hischier
Last 10: Dowd 5-5 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
42
Dowd
Hischier
44 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
30
5
Dowd
Hischier
35 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
9
12
Dowd
Hischier
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
51.5% (8,379)
+0.9%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
59.7% (1,736)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
49.4% (903)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Dowd shoots right. Hischier is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,970).
Home / Away
Dowd
Hischier
Home
51.9% (3,897)
53.0% (5,449)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
52.2% (5,569)
By Period
Dowd
Hischier
P1
51.7%
52.9%
P2
50.4%
52.4%
P3
50.3%
52.6%
OT
45.9%
50.6%
Final 5 min
50.5%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 11:29 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 02:38 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:15 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 04:46 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 18:02 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:43 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 16:38 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:10 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 01:50 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |