Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Hischier 55.2% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 22-7 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 71.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 84.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 74.4%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Dowd
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
22
(29 meetings)
7
22
Dowd
Hischier
Last 10: Dowd 3-7 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
16
Dowd
Hischier
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
2
Dowd
Hischier
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
4
Dowd
Hischier
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
55.8% (1,228)
-3.6%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
62.1% (282)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
47.6% (267)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Dowd shoots right. Hischier is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (590).
Home / Away
Dowd
Hischier
Home
51.5% (619)
56.5% (867)
Away
48.1% (576)
54.6% (910)
By Period
Dowd
Hischier
P1
51.7%
57.9%
P2
51.6%
55.9%
P3
47.0%
52.7%
OT
22.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 16:38 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:10 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 01:50 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 16:06 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 02:38 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 15:38 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 08:36 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 04:26 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |