Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Hischier 53.6% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 94.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 75.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 59.2%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Dowd
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Dowd
Hischier
Last 10: Dowd 4-6 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
7
Dowd
Hischier
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
9
1
Dowd
Hischier
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
4
Dowd
Hischier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
52.4% (1,185)
+2.8%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
57.8% (315)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
57.1% (154)
-18.9%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Dowd shoots right. Hischier is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Dowd
Hischier
Home
53.7% (445)
53.4% (844)
Away
47.7% (407)
54.3% (810)
By Period
Dowd
Hischier
P1
48.8%
49.7%
P2
49.3%
54.6%
P3
54.0%
56.1%
OT
44.4%
65.5%
Final 5 min
49.8%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 17:27 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 13:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 19:28 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 11:20 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 03:50 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 15:00 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 16:23 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 13:27 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 07:12 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 05:35 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 17:55 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 17:47 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 02:55 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 02:49 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |