Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Dowd wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Hischier 51.9% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 79.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 83.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 61.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Dowd
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Dowd
Hischier
Last 9: Dowd 5-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
Dowd
Hischier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
1
Dowd
Hischier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
1
Dowd
Hischier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
51.0% (1,011)
+4.4%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
58.2% (261)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
47.7% (130)
-2.2%
On even strength, Dowd has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Dowd shoots right. Hischier is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (544).
Home / Away
Dowd
Hischier
Home
58.2% (462)
52.8% (665)
Away
49.3% (481)
51.4% (737)
By Period
Dowd
Hischier
P1
55.6%
53.8%
P2
50.5%
53.8%
P3
53.9%
49.5%
OT
75.0%
35.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 02:33 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 02:29 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 17:29 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 06:43 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 05:30 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |