Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Hischier 56.2% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 89.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 84.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 62.4%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Dowd
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Dowd
Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Dowd
Hischier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Dowd
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
56.1% (1,018)
-6.9%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
59.9% (289)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
51.3% (80)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Dowd shoots right. Hischier is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
Dowd
Hischier
Home
46.3% (492)
56.5% (706)
Away
49.8% (532)
56.7% (681)
By Period
Dowd
Hischier
P1
49.1%
54.8%
P2
48.2%
57.8%
P3
46.9%
57.6%
OT
71.4%
14.3%
Final 5 min
45.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2024 | 1 | 09:22 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 1 | 09:15 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |