Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Dowd wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Strome 45.0% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Dowd 58.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 96.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 91.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Dowd
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Dowd
Strome
Last 10: Dowd 9-1 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
5
0
Dowd
Strome
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
0
Dowd
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
44.1% (749)
+11.3%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
46.2% (52)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
52.9% (17)
-7.4%
On even strength, Dowd has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Dowd shoots right. Strome is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (257).
Home / Away
Dowd
Strome
Home
58.2% (462)
45.1% (441)
Away
49.3% (481)
43.5% (377)
By Period
Dowd
Strome
P1
55.6%
42.9%
P2
50.5%
44.4%
P3
53.9%
45.8%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 18:27 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 2 | 14:54 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 17:13 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 1 | 04:39 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |