Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.1% vs Strome 45.2% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 84.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 61.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 65.0%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 84.8%
15.2%
84.8%
Dowd
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Dowd
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Dowd
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (644)
44.2% (267)
+7.5%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
37.0% (27)
-37.0%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (221)
50.0% (4)
-8.4%
On power play, Strome has a +37.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Dowd is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Dowd shoots right. Strome is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Dowd
Strome
Home
48.6% (451)
42.0% (157)
Away
49.5% (416)
45.4% (141)
By Period
Dowd
Strome
P1
49.1%
40.0%
P2
47.3%
46.4%
P3
51.4%
44.0%
OT
30.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |