Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Strome 44.4% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 97.3%
Defensive zone
Strome 83.1%
Neutral zone
Strome 83.4%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 88.9%
11.1%
88.9%
Dowd
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Dowd
Strome
Last 5: Dowd 0-5 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Dowd
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Dowd
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Dowd
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
43.0% (788)
+12.2%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
47.9% (96)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
50.0% (34)
-11.8%
On even strength, Dowd has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Dowd shoots right. Strome is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Home / Away
Dowd
Strome
Home
53.7% (445)
42.6% (486)
Away
47.7% (407)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Dowd
Strome
P1
48.8%
41.0%
P2
49.3%
47.8%
P3
54.0%
42.1%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 09:48 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 19:08 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 12:49 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |