Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Strome 46.8% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 91.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 83.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 61.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Dowd
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Dowd
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Dowd
Strome
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
0
Dowd
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
46.4% (371)
+2.8%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
43.3% (97)
+15.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
55.6% (18)
-11.6%
On power play, Dowd has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Dowd shoots right. Strome is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Home / Away
Dowd
Strome
Home
46.3% (492)
47.6% (225)
Away
49.8% (532)
44.8% (261)
By Period
Dowd
Strome
P1
49.1%
45.4%
P2
48.2%
47.6%
P3
46.9%
45.2%
OT
71.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:36 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |