Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Strome 42.3% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 90.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 82.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 67.9%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Dowd
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Dowd
Strome
Last 9: Dowd 5-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
3
Dowd
Strome
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
0
Dowd
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
41.2% (1,040)
+11.0%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
43.0% (151)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
51.4% (35)
-7.4%
On power play, Dowd has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Dowd is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Dowd shoots right. Strome is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Dowd
Strome
Home
51.5% (619)
40.1% (581)
Away
48.1% (576)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Dowd
Strome
P1
51.7%
41.4%
P2
51.6%
42.9%
P3
47.0%
40.5%
OT
22.2%
45.5%
Final 5 min
48.1%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:40 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 09:24 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 19:04 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |