Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (96% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Strome 44.6% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 36-19 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 60.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 95.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 92.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Dowd
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
19
(55 meetings)
36
19
Dowd
Strome
Last 10: Dowd 4-6 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
6
14
Dowd
Strome
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
23
1
Dowd
Strome
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
7
4
Dowd
Strome
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
44.1% (6,839)
+8.3%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
49.3% (854)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
41.5% (410)
+2.6%
On even strength, Dowd has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Dowd is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,675).
Dowd shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,377).
Home / Away
Dowd
Strome
Home
51.9% (3,897)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Dowd
Strome
P1
51.7%
44.0%
P2
50.4%
45.3%
P3
50.3%
44.3%
OT
45.9%
46.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 19:44 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:40 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 09:24 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 19:04 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:36 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 1, 2023 | 2 | 09:48 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 13:24 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 19:08 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 12:49 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 11:38 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |