Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Dowd wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Crosby 52.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 87.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 85.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.9%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
Dowd
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
16
(25 meetings)
9
16
Dowd
Crosby
Last 10: Dowd 2-8 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
8
Dowd
Crosby
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
9
4
Dowd
Crosby
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
4
Dowd
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
50.8% (1,169)
+4.6%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
60.2% (261)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
45.0% (20)
+0.5%
On even strength, Dowd has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Dowd shoots right. Crosby is 55.3% vs right-shot opponents (521).
Home / Away
Dowd
Crosby
Home
58.2% (462)
53.2% (726)
Away
49.3% (481)
51.7% (724)
By Period
Dowd
Crosby
P1
55.6%
51.3%
P2
50.5%
52.1%
P3
53.9%
54.1%
OT
75.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
53.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 18:19 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 16:30 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 11:35 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 16:13 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 13:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 07:16 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 04:24 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 02:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 02:28 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 02:22 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 1, 2022 | OT | 02:11 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 19:18 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 15:50 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 10:14 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |