Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Crosby 57.8% (-10.1%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 20-8 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Dowd 68.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 93.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 85.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 78.7%
78.7%
21.3%
Dowd
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
20
(28 meetings)
8
20
Dowd
Crosby
Last 10: Dowd 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
14
Dowd
Crosby
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
7
1
Dowd
Crosby
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
5
Dowd
Crosby
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
57.8% (1,437)
-8.6%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
60.9% (381)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
50.0% (54)
-6.0%
On even strength, Crosby has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Dowd shoots right. Crosby is 59.5% vs right-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Dowd
Crosby
Home
46.3% (492)
59.2% (985)
Away
49.8% (532)
57.2% (887)
By Period
Dowd
Crosby
P1
49.1%
57.3%
P2
48.2%
59.5%
P3
46.9%
58.5%
OT
71.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 13:03 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 10:08 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 10:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:28 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 07:32 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 02:22 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 19:18 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 10:36 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 10:11 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 07:52 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |