Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Crosby 52.8% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 97.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 76.1%
Neutral zone
Crosby 50.5%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 66.1%
33.9%
66.1%
Dowd
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Dowd
Crosby
Last 10: Dowd 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
5
Dowd
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
1
Dowd
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
0
Dowd
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (625)
52.5% (1,443)
+2.7%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
54.7% (369)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (220)
55.9% (34)
-17.7%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Dowd shoots right. Crosby is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Dowd
Crosby
Home
53.7% (445)
53.0% (931)
Away
47.7% (407)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Dowd
Crosby
P1
48.8%
50.3%
P2
49.3%
55.4%
P3
54.0%
53.3%
OT
44.4%
47.4%
Final 5 min
49.8%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 03:42 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 18:12 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 09:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 04:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 1 | 18:52 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 1 | 03:03 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |